CD Coca vs Villacastín Racing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
15.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
-61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Coca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
SLO
1 - 0
COC
17%
17%
66%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
COC
4 - 0
UNA
83%
11%
6%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
ESR
0 - 0
COC
49%
20%
31%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
MON
3 - 2
COC
41%
21%
38%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CAN
2 - 1
COC
31%
21%
48%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Villacastín Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
4 - 3
UNA
79%
13%
8%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
MON
3 - 1
VIL
71%
16%
13%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
VIL
3 - 2
ASU
41%
23%
36%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 5
CUE
68%
17%
15%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
CAB
1 - 4
VIL
15%
20%
66%
|
15 | 5 | 10 | 0 |