CD Ciconia Negra vs CD Diocesano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.6%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
75.7%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
12%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.9%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.2%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ciconia Negra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
ARR
3 - 1
CDC
80%
14%
6%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
CDC
1 - 2
CDS
11%
20%
69%
|
8 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
UPP
6 - 0
CDC
89%
8%
3%
|
8 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
CDC
0 - 1
MIA
13%
20%
67%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
LAS
4 - 0
CDC
71%
17%
13%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
CD Diocesano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CDD
0 - 1
TRU
56%
21%
24%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
CDD
4 - 1
MON
66%
18%
16%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
TAL
1 - 1
CDD
20%
20%
61%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
ARR
0 - 1
CDD
28%
22%
50%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
CDD
1 - 1
CFJ
74%
15%
10%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |