Chivas USA vs Real Salt Lake analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
40.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chivas USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2011 |
POR
1 - 0
CHI
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
COR
2 - 2
CHI
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
SES
0 - 0
CHI
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
NER
2 - 3
CHI
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2011 |
CHI
4 - 1
FCB
10%
19%
71%
|
70 | 96 | 26 | +1 |
Matches
Real Salt Lake
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
HUS
3 - 2
RSL
7%
16%
77%
|
79 | 9 | 70 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
HOD
3 - 2
RSL
39%
27%
34%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
TOR
1 - 0
RSL
27%
28%
46%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
RSL
3 - 0
RBN
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2011 |
KCW
2 - 0
RSL
37%
27%
36%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -1 |