Chivas USA vs Sporting Kansas City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
26.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chivas USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
DCU
0 - 2
CHI
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
CHI
1 - 1
RBN
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
SES
0 - 0
CHI
45%
27%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
CHI
2 - 0
NER
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
GAL
1 - 0
CHI
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Kansas City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
HOD
1 - 1
KCW
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
KCW
0 - 0
COR
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
KCW
3 - 2
DAL
42%
26%
33%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
RBN
0 - 1
KCW
46%
25%
29%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2009 |
DCU
1 - 0
KCW
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |