Chert vs Orpesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.7%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
69.8%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
TRR
6 - 0
CHE
71%
17%
12%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CHE
1 - 3
CDB
24%
21%
55%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CHE
0 - 3
ODI
16%
18%
67%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
RAF
4 - 1
CHE
68%
17%
15%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 1
CHE
80%
12%
8%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Orpesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
ORP
2 - 2
ODI
41%
22%
36%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
RAF
0 - 0
ORP
31%
23%
47%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ORP
1 - 2
VAL
50%
22%
28%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 0
ORP
25%
22%
54%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
TRA
1 - 2
ORP
45%
23%
32%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |