Chert vs Peñiscola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
35.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2023 |
CHE
0 - 1
ALC
25%
22%
53%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
TRA
4 - 2
CHE
71%
17%
12%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
CHE
1 - 1
BEN
26%
21%
53%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
ALM
4 - 0
CHE
50%
21%
29%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
CHE
3 - 2
RPL
27%
20%
54%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Peñiscola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 1
ODI
27%
21%
52%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
RAF
2 - 0
PEN
54%
21%
25%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 2
VAL
33%
22%
46%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 2
CDB
66%
18%
16%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
TRA
3 - 0
PEN
55%
22%
23%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |