Chamartin Vergara vs Virgen de Mirasierra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.3%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.9%
11.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chamartin Vergara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
CHA
3 - 2
ACA
87%
9%
5%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
SSD
2 - 4
CHA
16%
17%
68%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
CHA
4 - 2
CFR
72%
15%
13%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
JRR
4 - 11
CHA
18%
18%
64%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
CHA
7 - 1
MSP
78%
13%
10%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Virgen de Mirasierra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
RAY
2 - 2
VMS
47%
21%
32%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
VMS
1 - 5
IMA
23%
23%
55%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
RSR
2 - 2
VMS
49%
23%
28%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 1
VMS
41%
24%
35%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2018 |
VMS
3 - 0
ALC
61%
19%
20%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |