CD Cervera vs Carrion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.3%
Win probability
3.53
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.7%
6-0
4%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.6%
5-0
6.8%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
10%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.2%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.7%
7.9%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.9%
3.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Cervera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
JOP
0 - 1
CER
11%
15%
73%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
CER
8 - 2
UDA
90%
7%
3%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 5
CER
19%
20%
62%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
UDB
1 - 6
CER
6%
12%
83%
|
15 | 5 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
CER
3 - 0
CDV
81%
12%
7%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Carrion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 2
MON
10%
15%
75%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
GRI
0 - 5
CAR
44%
20%
35%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CAR
3 - 3
GUA
47%
22%
31%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 3
SAL
40%
23%
37%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
CAR
6 - 0
CAR
76%
15%
9%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | 0 |