Cerezo vs Montija analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
34.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerezo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2016 |
UNI
9 - 0
CER
91%
7%
3%
|
7 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
CER
0 - 3
BUR
14%
19%
67%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ALB
1 - 0
CER
62%
18%
19%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
CER
1 - 3
CAP
17%
20%
64%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
ALC
5 - 1
CER
82%
12%
7%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Montija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2016 |
MON
0 - 0
TRE
31%
21%
48%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
INT
3 - 0
MON
47%
22%
31%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
MON
0 - 6
UNI
7%
14%
79%
|
7 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
BUR
3 - 0
MON
82%
12%
7%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
MON
0 - 1
ALB
40%
22%
39%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |