Centenario vs San Martín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
32.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Centenario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2019 |
CEN
1 - 0
COL
55%
26%
19%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
CEN
1 - 1
SUN
36%
28%
36%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
OES
1 - 1
CEN
43%
28%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
CHI
1 - 2
CEN
47%
28%
25%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
CEN
2 - 3
IND
17%
22%
62%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
SMA
2 - 1
CHI
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
NAC
2 - 2
SMA
40%
28%
32%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
SMA
2 - 1
AZU
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
SMA
0 - 0
OES
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
OES
0 - 0
SMA
31%
24%
45%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |