Centenario vs Deportivo San Miguelito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
40.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Centenario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
OES
0 - 1
CEN
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
CEN
0 - 0
VER
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
GEM
2 - 0
CEN
55%
25%
20%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
CEN
3 - 0
RIO
45%
25%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
CHI
1 - 3
CEN
34%
26%
40%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo San Miguelito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
MSM
2 - 1
COL
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
MSM
2 - 1
IND
41%
26%
33%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
OES
0 - 1
MSM
34%
24%
42%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
MSM
1 - 0
VER
60%
22%
18%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
MSM
1 - 3
GEM
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |