Castroviejo vs Arcos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.8%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
74.9%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.5%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.7%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-62%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castroviejo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ABE
3 - 1
CAS
78%
14%
8%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 4
TAR
10%
16%
74%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 0
QUI
35%
23%
42%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +2 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
LAN
7 - 2
CAS
75%
15%
10%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 3
VIS
41%
23%
36%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Arcos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
ARC
1 - 0
TAR
48%
21%
31%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
ARC
6 - 1
LAN
71%
16%
13%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
ARC
4 - 1
NAV
79%
13%
8%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ARC
5 - 0
VAL
70%
17%
13%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2014 |
ABE
0 - 1
ARC
41%
23%
36%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |