Castroverde vs Monte B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.7%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
12.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castroverde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
MER
0 - 1
CAS
31%
21%
48%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
CAS
2 - 3
AFR
66%
18%
16%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
CAS
0 - 1
CAS
26%
20%
54%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
FOC
2 - 1
CAS
46%
20%
34%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
CAS
5 - 1
MDC
78%
13%
9%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Monte B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
MNT
0 - 4
MDC
68%
17%
15%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
LIE
4 - 0
MNT
78%
13%
9%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
MNT
5 - 0
SJU
80%
13%
8%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
VEL
1 - 1
MNT
53%
21%
26%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
MNT
3 - 1
RIO
77%
13%
9%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | 0 |