CD Castellón vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
28.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
UDL
2 - 2
CAS
47%
28%
26%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
CAS
0 - 2
ELC
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
CEL
2 - 1
CAS
54%
26%
20%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
CAS
4 - 1
CAD
44%
27%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
VIL
3 - 1
CAS
32%
29%
39%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
MUR
3 - 0
RUN
63%
23%
15%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
RAY
2 - 0
MUR
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2009 |
DEP
0 - 0
MUR
68%
20%
11%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
MUR
1 - 4
CAR
60%
24%
16%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
ALB
3 - 2
MUR
38%
28%
34%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |