CD Castellón vs Peña Deportiva analysis


39	ELO	35
-9.5%	Tilt	-16.1%
1209º	General ELO ranking	3728º
48º	Country ELO ranking	108º
ELO win probability

52%

CD Castellón

25.7%

Draw

22.3%

Peña Deportiva

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

52%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%

25.7%

Draw

0-0

8.7%

1-1

12.1%

2-2

4.2%

3-3

0.7%

4-4

0.1%

25.7%

22.3%
Win probability

                        
                    
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CD Castellón

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
15 May. 2016	REC 2 - 3 CAS 27% 27% 46%	38	27	11	0
08 May. 2016	CAS 1 - 0 PAT 63% 21% 16%	38	32	6	0
30 Apr. 2016	BUÑ 0 - 2 CAS 21% 26% 53%	37	24	13	+1
24 Apr. 2016	CAS 4 - 1 BEN 70% 18% 11%	37	26	11	0
16 Apr. 2016	TOR 0 - 0 CAS 39% 27% 34%	37	34	3	0

Matches

Peña Deportiva

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
15 May. 2016	PXD 2 - 2 CON 54% 24% 22%	36	34	2	0
07 May. 2016	BNS 0 - 0 PXD 31% 26% 43%	36	28	8	0
30 Apr. 2016	PXD 0 - 0 MLL 37% 27% 37%	36	41	5	0
24 Apr. 2016	SLL 0 - 2 PXD 19% 24% 57%	36	19	17	0
17 Apr. 2016	PXD 6 - 0 UDR 72% 17% 11%	35	21	14	+1