Casas vs Red Mist analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.5%
Win probability
3.39
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.6%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.2%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.7%
5.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
CAS
7 - 3
VDM
85%
10%
5%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
CFC
1 - 1
CAS
72%
15%
13%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
CAS
7 - 1
SAB
87%
9%
4%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
CAS
3 - 0
JUV
44%
22%
35%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
CAM
3 - 0
CAS
26%
22%
52%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Red Mist
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
CAM
2 - 1
RMI
67%
18%
15%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
RMI
1 - 2
RRR
58%
19%
23%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
HOY
2 - 1
RMI
49%
21%
30%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
RMI
5 - 2
FUE
61%
19%
21%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
BUÑ
5 - 3
RMI
38%
22%
40%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -2 |