Carrion vs Castilla Dueñas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
51.7%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
VDB
4 - 1
CAR
69%
17%
15%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 1
UDB
69%
17%
15%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 2
CAR
52%
20%
28%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 2
CDV
27%
19%
54%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
SAL
1 - 2
CAR
35%
23%
42%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Castilla Dueñas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 2
JOP
74%
15%
11%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
UDA
1 - 2
CAS
13%
16%
71%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 0
CER
19%
20%
61%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
MON
1 - 2
CAS
72%
16%
12%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
CAS
6 - 1
GRI
69%
16%
15%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |