Carranza B vs CDB Base analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
4%
5-3
1.2%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.6%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
16.4%
18.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carranza B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
EFC
3 - 2
CAR
24%
18%
58%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 2
PBT
53%
20%
27%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
ACA
3 - 3
CAR
69%
16%
15%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 1
ACA
59%
18%
23%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ALG
1 - 4
CAR
14%
15%
71%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
CDB Base
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
BBA
2 - 3
TRC
55%
19%
26%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
BBA
9 - 0
FUT
64%
17%
19%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +2 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
UDS
2 - 5
BBA
48%
20%
32%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
BBA
2 - 1
AAL
27%
20%
53%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | +2 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CDA
5 - 3
BBA
71%
16%
14%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | -1 |