Bugarra vs Atl. Villar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.6%
Win probability
3.52
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.6%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.4%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.7%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.9%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.9%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.2%
4.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bugarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
SIL
2 - 3
BUG
44%
22%
35%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
BUG
4 - 0
MAN
67%
16%
17%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
RIB
1 - 2
BUG
27%
21%
52%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
BUG
1 - 1
PED
49%
20%
31%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
BUR
1 - 1
BUG
12%
16%
72%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Villar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 2
BET
25%
21%
54%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 5
LLI
43%
22%
36%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -2 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
SIL
3 - 1
VIL
71%
16%
13%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 3
MAN
30%
22%
48%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
RIB
2 - 0
VIL
47%
21%
32%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -2 |