CD Boca vs Sporting de Sarria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.7%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
3.1%
6-3
1%
7-4
0.2%
8-5
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
4.8%
5-3
1.8%
6-4
0.4%
7-5
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
5.9%
4-3
2.8%
5-4
0.8%
6-5
0.1%
7-6
<0%
+1
18.2%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
3.4%
4-4
1.2%
5-5
0.3%
6-6
<0%
0
15.1%
18.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
6-7
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Boca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
ESP
4 - 0
CDB
80%
13%
7%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2022 |
CDB
0 - 8
ADP
14%
14%
72%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
FUN
8 - 0
CDB
73%
15%
13%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
CDB
0 - 5
RAY
34%
20%
46%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
MHA
10 - 1
CDB
75%
14%
11%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting de Sarria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
ADP
2 - 0
SDS
91%
7%
3%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
SDS
4 - 3
RAY
16%
18%
66%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | +2 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
FOA
4 - 2
SDS
68%
17%
15%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
SDS
2 - 3
CPO
18%
17%
66%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
PAS
3 - 1
SDS
87%
8%
5%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | -1 |