CD Bargas vs Polan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
20.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Bargas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CDL
0 - 1
BAR
41%
24%
35%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 0
PUE
82%
13%
6%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CON
0 - 1
BAR
56%
21%
23%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
BAR
4 - 1
ORG
26%
24%
50%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +2 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
URD
1 - 0
BAR
58%
20%
22%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Polan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
POL
1 - 1
URD
37%
24%
39%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ECG
2 - 0
POL
48%
21%
31%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
POL
4 - 2
CBA
61%
20%
19%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
POL
2 - 2
MOC
24%
23%
54%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
ESC
0 - 1
POL
26%
21%
53%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |