Tercera RFEF XIV - Extremadura. Jor. 21

CD Azuaga vs Moralo analysis

CD Azuaga Moralo
31 ELO 30
-15.8% Tilt -15.5%
7945º General ELO ranking 8562º
302º Country ELO ranking 360º
ELO win probability
43.1%
CD Azuaga
25.1%
Draw
31.8%
Moralo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
CD Azuaga
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
31.8%
Win probability
Moralo
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
CD Azuaga
+29%
-14%
Moralo

Points and table prediction

CD Azuaga
Their league position
Moralo
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
11º
54
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
AD Llerenense
64
64
100%
CD Azuaga
62
62
100%
Moralo
54
55
72%
Olivenza
53
54
72%
Jerez
48
51
100%
Arroyo
46
46
100%
Trujillo
44
44
72%
Villafranca
42
43
72%
Calamonte
39
40
81.5%
UD Fuente de Cantos
10º
38
38
10º
81.5%
Pueblonuevo
11º
32
32
11º
100%
Montehermoso
12º
31
31
12º
100%
Miajadas
13º
26
27
13º
100%
CD Don Álvaro
15º
24
25
14º
100%
Plasencia
14º
24
24
15º
100%
UC La Estrella
16º
21
21
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
CD Azuaga
Moralo
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
100% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

CD Azuaga
Moralo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CD Azuaga
CD Azuaga
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Feb. 2023
ARR
Arroyo
0 - 1
CD Azuaga
AZU
21%
24%
55%
29 19 10 0
05 Feb. 2023
AZU
CD Azuaga
2 - 1
Trujillo
TRU
54%
23%
23%
28 24 4 +1
29 Jan. 2023
CDD
CD Don Álvaro
0 - 4
CD Azuaga
AZU
20%
22%
58%
27 15 12 +1
22 Jan. 2023
PLA
Plasencia
1 - 2
CD Azuaga
AZU
14%
21%
65%
27 14 13 0
15 Jan. 2023
AZU
CD Azuaga
3 - 0
AD Llerenense
ADL
33%
25%
42%
25 29 4 +2

Matches

Moralo
Moralo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Feb. 2023
MOR
Moralo
0 - 2
AD Llerenense
ADL
49%
24%
27%
32 27 5 0
05 Feb. 2023
UCL
UC La Estrella
1 - 4
Moralo
MOR
12%
20%
69%
31 12 19 +1
29 Jan. 2023
MOR
Moralo
2 - 1
Olivenza
OLI
64%
21%
15%
31 21 10 0
22 Jan. 2023
PUE
Pueblonuevo
1 - 1
Moralo
MOR
16%
22%
62%
31 18 13 0
14 Jan. 2023
MOR
Moralo
7 - 0
Montehermoso
MON
74%
17%
9%
31 16 15 0
X