CD Azuaga vs AD Llerenense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
42.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
1º
11º
2º
64
1º
10º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 55 |
3º
|
72% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 54 |
4º
|
72% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
72% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 43 |
8º
|
72% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
81.5% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
81.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Azuaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
AZU
6 - 0
UCL
75%
16%
9%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
OLI
0 - 4
AZU
44%
24%
31%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
AZU
1 - 0
PUE
64%
21%
15%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
MON
2 - 4
AZU
21%
25%
53%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
AZU
1 - 0
VIL
66%
20%
14%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
AD Llerenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
ADL
3 - 1
PLA
80%
14%
6%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
UCL
1 - 2
ADL
12%
19%
69%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
ADL
1 - 0
OLI
60%
21%
19%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
PUE
0 - 2
ADL
19%
22%
59%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
ADL
5 - 0
MON
73%
17%
10%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |