CD Aurrera Vitoria vs Leioa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
42.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
10º
16º
16º
57
2º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
57.5% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 35 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
24% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
35.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 33 |
12º
|
53.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
46% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
57% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 27 |
15º
|
82.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Aurrera Vitoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
POR
2 - 1
AUR
49%
24%
27%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
AUR
1 - 3
PAS
60%
21%
20%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 1
AUR
53%
22%
25%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
AUR
0 - 3
CDV
40%
24%
36%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
BAS
2 - 1
AUR
48%
22%
30%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Leioa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
LEI
1 - 3
CDU
67%
20%
14%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CDP
2 - 2
LEI
10%
19%
71%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
LEI
1 - 0
AFT
61%
20%
19%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
LEI
3 - 1
AUR
77%
15%
8%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
RUN
3 - 2
LEI
82%
13%
5%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | 0 |