Pref. Pais Vasco Álava Round 22

CD Aurrera Vitoria vs Ariznabarra analysis

CD Aurrera Vitoria Ariznabarra
35 ELO 31
3.8% Tilt 6.8%
8370º General ELO ranking 9044º
410º Country ELO ranking 467º
ELO win probability
56.1%
CD Aurrera Vitoria
20.4%
Draw
23.5%
Ariznabarra

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
CD Aurrera Vitoria
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
23.4%
Win probability
Ariznabarra
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
CD Aurrera Vitoria
+44%
+11%
Ariznabarra

ELO progression

CD Aurrera Vitoria
Ariznabarra
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CD Aurrera Vitoria
CD Aurrera Vitoria
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Mar. 2025
IRU
SD Iru-Bat Santa Lucía
0 - 3
CD Aurrera Vitoria
AUR
13%
17%
70%
34 18 16 0
01 Mar. 2025
AUR
CD Aurrera Vitoria
2 - 0
Laudio
LAU
73%
16%
11%
33 24 9 +1
22 Feb. 2025
IZA
Izarra Gorri
0 - 0
CD Aurrera Vitoria
AUR
8%
13%
79%
34 10 24 -1
15 Feb. 2025
AUR
CD Aurrera Vitoria
5 - 0
Chaminade Marianistas
ELP
78%
13%
9%
33 19 14 +1
09 Feb. 2025
ALE
Alegría
0 - 3
CD Aurrera Vitoria
AUR
9%
15%
77%
32 16 16 +1

Matches

Ariznabarra
Ariznabarra
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Mar. 2025
ARI
Ariznabarra
3 - 2
San Prudencio
CDS
54%
21%
25%
30 28 2 0
05 Mar. 2025
AMU
Amurrio
2 - 1
Ariznabarra
ARI
23%
22%
55%
31 24 7 -1
01 Mar. 2025
CDF
CDF San Martín
0 - 1
Ariznabarra
ARI
13%
16%
71%
30 15 15 +1
22 Feb. 2025
ARI
Ariznabarra
0 - 0
San Ignacio B
CDS
81%
13%
7%
30 19 11 0
15 Feb. 2025
MKE
Mercedarias KE
1 - 3
Ariznabarra
ARI
20%
21%
60%
29 21 8 +1