Atletico Rafal vs Santa Catalina Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
36.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
CEC
1 - 0
ATL
31%
24%
45%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 1
UNI
62%
20%
18%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 3
ATL
20%
22%
58%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
CDS
1 - 1
ATL
22%
23%
55%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 1
CDG
48%
23%
30%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Santa Catalina Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
STA
2 - 1
UDA
60%
21%
19%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
CEE
2 - 2
STA
23%
23%
54%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
STA
2 - 0
SPO
76%
15%
9%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
STA
0 - 0
SCD
53%
22%
25%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
CDM
0 - 7
STA
25%
23%
52%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | +1 |