Atletico Rafal vs UD Collerense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
44.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
CON
6 - 0
ATL
74%
17%
9%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 3
CAM
44%
24%
32%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
ATL
3 - 4
ALC
43%
24%
33%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
PXD
2 - 1
ATL
76%
15%
9%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 1
PCE
35%
24%
42%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
UD Collerense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
CLL
2 - 3
PXD
38%
25%
37%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
PCE
1 - 2
CLL
48%
23%
29%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
CLL
0 - 0
SDF
33%
24%
43%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
SLL
1 - 1
CLL
52%
22%
26%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
CLL
1 - 0
MNC
47%
22%
30%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |