Primera Andaluza Jaen Round 15

Atlético Mengibar vs Navas CD analysis

Atlético Mengibar Navas CD
14 ELO 18
6.6% Tilt 8.2%
14411º General ELO ranking 14559º
2988º Country ELO ranking 3093º
ELO win probability
34.9%
Atlético Mengibar
22.6%
Draw
42.5%
Navas CD

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.9%
Win probability
Atlético Mengibar
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
42.5%
Win probability
Navas CD
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Atlético Mengibar
+8%
-21%
Navas CD

ELO progression

Atlético Mengibar
Navas CD
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Atlético Mengibar
Atlético Mengibar
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Dec. 2023
CAR
Carolinense
7 - 0
Atlético Mengibar
CDA
50%
22%
28%
16 17 1 0
10 Dec. 2023
CDA
Atlético Mengibar
0 - 5
CD Villacarrillo
VIL
31%
23%
46%
17 21 4 -1
03 Dec. 2023
ATL
Atlético Jaén
4 - 0
Atlético Mengibar
CDA
45%
21%
34%
18 18 0 -1
26 Nov. 2023
CDA
Atlético Mengibar
4 - 2
Begíjar CF
BEG
36%
24%
40%
16 20 4 +2
19 Nov. 2023
CDR
CD Rus
0 - 1
Atlético Mengibar
CDA
42%
22%
37%
16 15 1 0

Matches

Navas CD
Navas CD
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Dec. 2023
NAV
Navas CD
8 - 2
AD Lopera
ADL
60%
19%
21%
16 14 2 0
10 Dec. 2023
CDH
CD Hispania
1 - 4
Navas CD
NAV
51%
23%
27%
14 16 2 +2
03 Dec. 2023
CAR
Carolinense
2 - 0
Navas CD
NAV
52%
22%
26%
15 17 2 -1
26 Nov. 2023
NAV
Navas CD
0 - 5
CD Villacarrillo
VIL
36%
23%
41%
16 20 4 -1
19 Nov. 2023
ATL
Atlético Jaén
4 - 0
Navas CD
NAV
33%
22%
45%
18 14 4 -2