Primera Andaluza Jaen Round 19

Atlético Mengibar vs Mancha Real B analysis

Atlético Mengibar Mancha Real B
12 ELO 9
5.6% Tilt 9.9%
13990º General ELO ranking 17078º
2839º Country ELO ranking 4851º
ELO win probability
67.8%
Atlético Mengibar
16.7%
Draw
15.5%
Mancha Real B

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.7%
Win probability
Atlético Mengibar
2.65
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.7%
15.5%
Win probability
Mancha Real B
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Atlético Mengibar
+17%
+293%
Mancha Real B

ELO progression

Atlético Mengibar
Mancha Real B
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Atlético Mengibar
Atlético Mengibar
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Feb. 2024
IDJ
Inter de Jaén CF
5 - 3
Atlético Mengibar
CDA
49%
23%
28%
13 15 2 0
28 Jan. 2024
CDH
CD Hispania
1 - 0
Atlético Mengibar
CDA
48%
23%
30%
14 15 1 -1
21 Jan. 2024
CDA
Atlético Mengibar
0 - 0
AD Lopera
ADL
60%
20%
21%
14 12 2 0
14 Jan. 2024
CDA
Atlético Mengibar
2 - 3
Navas CD
NAV
35%
23%
43%
14 17 3 0
17 Dec. 2023
CAR
Carolinense
7 - 0
Atlético Mengibar
CDA
50%
22%
28%
16 17 1 -2

Matches

Mancha Real B
Mancha Real B
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Feb. 2024
MAN
Mancha Real B
0 - 3
AD Lopera
ADL
38%
21%
41%
10 12 2 0
28 Jan. 2024
NAV
Navas CD
1 - 0
Mancha Real B
MAN
85%
10%
6%
10 18 8 0
21 Jan. 2024
MAN
Mancha Real B
1 - 1
Carolinense
CAR
13%
17%
70%
10 19 9 0
14 Jan. 2024
MAN
Mancha Real B
2 - 6
CD Villacarrillo
VIL
13%
18%
69%
10 22 12 0
17 Dec. 2023
ATL
Atlético Jaén
3 - 2
Mancha Real B
MAN
81%
12%
7%
10 18 8 0