Aspense vs Dénia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aspense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1989 |
ASP
1 - 0
CAN
60%
24%
17%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1989 |
VAL
2 - 1
ASP
51%
26%
23%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1989 |
OND
3 - 0
ASP
59%
24%
17%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1989 |
ASP
2 - 2
BEN
26%
30%
44%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 1989 |
ASP
0 - 0
SAG
67%
20%
13%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Dénia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1989 |
DEN
1 - 0
BEN
63%
22%
15%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1989 |
CAN
2 - 4
DEN
52%
26%
22%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1989 |
VAL
0 - 0
DEN
58%
23%
19%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 1989 |
DEN
0 - 2
REQ
72%
19%
9%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1989 |
DEN
1 - 3
ONT
35%
30%
35%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |