Aspense vs Calpe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.5%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
42.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aspense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1992 |
ASP
1 - 1
JAV
26%
30%
45%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1992 |
VIJ
3 - 2
ASP
74%
18%
8%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1992 |
ELC
2 - 0
ASP
73%
19%
9%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 1992 |
ASP
1 - 1
OLI
18%
25%
56%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 1991 |
PIN
2 - 1
ASP
71%
20%
9%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Calpe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1992 |
CAL
1 - 0
LOL
68%
20%
12%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1992 |
JAV
1 - 2
CAL
58%
25%
18%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1992 |
DEN
0 - 1
CAL
49%
27%
24%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 1992 |
CAL
2 - 0
VIJ
62%
23%
15%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1991 |
CAL
2 - 1
HOR
41%
28%
31%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |