Aspense vs Alicante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
18.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aspense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1989 |
BIG
0 - 3
ASP
44%
28%
28%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1989 |
ASP
1 - 1
ELC
49%
26%
25%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1989 |
DEN
2 - 0
ASP
57%
25%
18%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1989 |
ASP
0 - 1
CDC
57%
24%
19%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1989 |
LOL
0 - 0
ASP
44%
27%
29%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Alicante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1989 |
ALI
4 - 0
MON
53%
25%
21%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1989 |
ONT
3 - 1
ALI
75%
17%
8%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1989 |
ALI
2 - 1
HOR
33%
28%
38%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1989 |
VIJ
1 - 0
ALI
76%
16%
8%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1989 |
ALI
0 - 0
OLI
40%
28%
32%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |