CD Arroyo vs Fuenlabrada El Naranjo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.5%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.7%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
11%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11%
6.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ATL
0 - 3
CDA
19%
16%
65%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CDA
7 - 3
CDM
59%
19%
22%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
SPF
2 - 3
CDA
27%
19%
54%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
CDA
3 - 2
VSN
48%
21%
32%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
TDC
9 - 0
CDA
70%
17%
14%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Fuenlabrada El Naranjo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
FNA
1 - 4
DEP
29%
22%
50%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
TDC
8 - 0
FNA
90%
7%
3%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
FNA
1 - 6
MLA
24%
20%
57%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
SIV
2 - 1
FNA
59%
19%
23%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
FNA
11 - 1
CAL
55%
19%
26%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | +2 |