V. Espinareda vs Matarrosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.1%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
15%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
9.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
V. Espinareda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ARE
0 - 1
NAR
74%
16%
11%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
FUT
2 - 1
ARE
20%
21%
59%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
ARE
3 - 2
SAN
67%
18%
15%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
ARE
3 - 1
TOR
77%
14%
9%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 4
ARE
46%
23%
31%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Matarrosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 0
MAT
77%
15%
9%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
MAT
1 - 3
LAC
12%
18%
70%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 1
MAT
42%
23%
36%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
MAT
0 - 4
TOR
14%
19%
67%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
BOS
4 - 1
MAT
60%
20%
20%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |