Arces vs Rueda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19%
20.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arces
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
PED
1 - 0
ARC
79%
13%
8%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
ARC
0 - 3
MED
16%
18%
66%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
CIS
2 - 1
ARC
70%
17%
14%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
BEL
1 - 3
ARC
39%
23%
39%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ARC
4 - 1
VIL
30%
22%
48%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Rueda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
RUE
2 - 4
BEL
46%
21%
33%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
VIL
6 - 0
RUE
62%
18%
19%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
RUE
1 - 3
RIO
47%
22%
31%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
MIG
3 - 1
RUE
53%
20%
27%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
RUE
1 - 2
BOE
19%
20%
61%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |