Apademar vs Atco. Villanueva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
41%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apademar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
VIL
3 - 0
CDA
52%
21%
28%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
ALM
4 - 0
CDA
85%
9%
6%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
CDA
1 - 2
COS
71%
16%
13%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
CDA
3 - 1
CAS
64%
18%
18%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
LEO
0 - 1
CDA
31%
22%
47%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Atco. Villanueva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ATC
3 - 4
ALM
18%
21%
62%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
ATC
2 - 1
CAS
61%
21%
19%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
REC
1 - 2
ATC
55%
21%
24%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ATC
0 - 3
CCS
21%
20%
59%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
LUC
2 - 1
ATC
24%
23%
53%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | -1 |