CD Amigó vs Aluvión analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
52.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Amigó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
GAR
0 - 0
CDA
63%
19%
18%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
CDA
1 - 2
AOI
27%
23%
51%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
CDC
1 - 1
CDA
66%
18%
16%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CDA
1 - 2
PEN
31%
22%
47%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
INJ
1 - 0
CDA
62%
19%
19%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
ALU
1 - 1
ERR
44%
24%
32%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
ART
2 - 3
ALU
47%
23%
30%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ALU
1 - 1
IDO
61%
20%
19%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CDB
5 - 1
ALU
37%
22%
41%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ALU
1 - 0
CDO
39%
24%
38%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |