CD Alfaro vs Unión Adarve analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
13.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alfaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2013 |
ADA
0 - 0
ALF
26%
24%
51%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
ALF
5 - 0
CAL
86%
11%
3%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
CLH
1 - 0
ALF
20%
22%
58%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
CDF
0 - 2
ALF
8%
15%
77%
|
43 | 14 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
ALF
1 - 0
PRA
86%
10%
4%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
Unión Adarve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2013 |
ADA
0 - 0
ALF
26%
24%
51%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
ADA
5 - 0
SFN
53%
24%
23%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 2
ADA
49%
26%
25%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
ADA
2 - 0
GRI
70%
19%
11%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ALC
1 - 3
ADA
37%
28%
36%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |