CD Alfaro vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
58%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alfaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
ALC
1 - 0
ALF
53%
25%
22%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2008 |
ALF
1 - 2
DBN
64%
21%
15%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
ALF
1 - 1
AGU
37%
27%
35%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2008 |
ALF
1 - 0
AGU
37%
25%
38%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
RAP
1 - 4
ALF
10%
20%
70%
|
47 | 19 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
RMC
2 - 2
LOR
78%
15%
7%
|
66 | 41 | 25 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
VEC
0 - 2
RMC
35%
26%
39%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
RMC
2 - 1
ATB
74%
16%
10%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
LEG
0 - 0
RMC
24%
26%
50%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
RMC
2 - 2
MAR
77%
15%
7%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |