A. Castellae vs Trespaderne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
30.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
A. Castellae
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
CAP
3 - 1
ALB
68%
19%
14%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
ALB
1 - 3
ALC
14%
17%
70%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
SAL
7 - 1
ALB
47%
23%
30%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
MON
4 - 2
ALB
59%
20%
21%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -2 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
ALB
1 - 0
GRO
20%
21%
59%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Trespaderne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
TRE
0 - 1
SAL
26%
21%
52%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
BEB
10 - 0
TRE
85%
10%
5%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
TRE
1 - 4
CER
49%
22%
29%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
VAD
5 - 1
TRE
80%
12%
8%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
FEL
1 - 1
TRE
60%
20%
20%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |