CCD Chain vs Racing Castrelos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
20.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CCD Chain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 4
CHA
38%
23%
39%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CHA
3 - 1
TEI
76%
14%
10%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
NIE
3 - 0
CHA
44%
22%
34%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 2
VIL
76%
15%
10%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CHA
2 - 0
GON
84%
11%
5%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Racing Castrelos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 0
GON
75%
15%
10%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CHO
5 - 0
CAS
61%
19%
20%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CAS
3 - 1
GDM
78%
14%
9%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
CRI
0 - 1
CAS
30%
22%
48%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CAS
4 - 0
RAP
69%
17%
14%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |