CCD Chain vs Gran Peña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
27.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CCD Chain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
BEL
1 - 2
CHA
61%
20%
19%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
CHA
1 - 2
CAS
39%
24%
37%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
UDE
3 - 1
CHA
34%
23%
43%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
CHA
1 - 2
MOA
31%
23%
46%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
DOM
2 - 2
CHA
68%
18%
14%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Gran Peña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 0
GRA
67%
18%
15%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
GRA
0 - 1
MOA
27%
23%
51%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 1
GRA
51%
22%
27%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
GRA
4 - 2
CAN
27%
23%
50%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
CAL
3 - 1
GRA
38%
23%
38%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -2 |