CCD Arturo Fernández Vial vs Deportes Valdivia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
38.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CCD Arturo Fernández Vial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
AFV
2 - 1
USM
44%
25%
32%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
DLI
1 - 0
AFV
63%
20%
17%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
AFV
0 - 1
CHG
44%
25%
32%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
REN
4 - 2
AFV
47%
24%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
AFV
1 - 1
TRA
37%
26%
38%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Valdivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
DLI
0 - 0
VAL
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 1
CHG
53%
24%
23%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
REN
0 - 0
VAL
37%
26%
37%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 0
TRA
45%
25%
30%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
USM
1 - 1
VAL
40%
26%
34%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |