Cayón vs Tropezón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
35.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
1º
3º
1º
52
1º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
44% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 52 |
5º
|
44% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
6º
|
88.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
58% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
8º
|
50.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 39 |
9º
|
81% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 34 |
10º
|
91.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 32 |
11º
|
91.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
62% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
62% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cayón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
NAV
1 - 0
CAY
21%
25%
54%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
CAY
2 - 0
CAS
72%
17%
11%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 1
CAY
15%
22%
63%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
CAY
1 - 2
ALB
59%
21%
19%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
CAY
1 - 1
MAR
55%
22%
22%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Tropezón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
TRO
0 - 0
MAR
50%
23%
27%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
REV
2 - 0
TRO
12%
17%
72%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
TRO
4 - 2
SOL
72%
17%
11%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
CUL
1 - 2
TRO
14%
18%
67%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
TRO
0 - 0
SIE
70%
18%
12%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | -1 |