Cayón vs Solares analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cayón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
DEV
1 - 2
CAY
56%
23%
21%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
CAY
0 - 1
REO
23%
25%
51%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2009 |
BAR
1 - 0
CAY
57%
22%
20%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
CAY
1 - 0
TRO
15%
24%
61%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | +2 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 2
CAY
58%
23%
19%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Solares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
SOL
0 - 1
CAS
24%
26%
50%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
RIB
2 - 0
SOL
64%
20%
16%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2009 |
SOL
0 - 1
TEX
23%
26%
51%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
ALB
1 - 1
SOL
64%
21%
15%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
SOL
1 - 3
BUE
22%
23%
56%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | -1 |