Cayón vs Castro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
19.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+70%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cayón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1992 |
COM
1 - 0
CAY
70%
19%
11%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1992 |
CAY
1 - 0
BAR
79%
15%
6%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1992 |
CAY
5 - 1
RIB
63%
22%
15%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1992 |
SJU
0 - 2
CAY
22%
27%
52%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1992 |
CAY
0 - 1
PON
41%
28%
31%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1992 |
CAS
0 - 1
RIB
58%
25%
17%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1992 |
SJU
0 - 0
CAS
20%
27%
53%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1992 |
CAS
1 - 0
PON
36%
30%
33%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1992 |
COL
1 - 2
CAS
51%
26%
23%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1992 |
CAS
1 - 1
RAY
35%
29%
36%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |