CDRA vs Caravel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
3%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.7%
18%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
64.5%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.9%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
-49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
6º
11º
8º
5
6º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
27 | 27 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 25 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 22 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 22 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 18 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 18 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 9 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
8 | 8 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 8 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
5 | 5 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 4 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CDRA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2023 |
CDR
1 - 3
SVC
10%
16%
73%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2023 |
CDR
1 - 3
UFC
23%
19%
58%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
CDR
0 - 4
BUB
14%
16%
70%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 1
CDR
91%
7%
3%
|
12 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 3
CDR
92%
6%
2%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Caravel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 2
BRA
16%
17%
67%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
BUB
4 - 1
CAR
67%
17%
16%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
SVC
3 - 2
CAR
60%
19%
22%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 3
UFC
75%
14%
12%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 3
CDR
92%
6%
2%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | -1 |