Caxias do Sul vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
31.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
SPO
3 - 0
CAX
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2004 |
CAX
1 - 3
FLU
21%
22%
57%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
MOG
0 - 1
CAX
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2003 |
CAX
0 - 0
SPO
19%
26%
55%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
SAN
3 - 1
CAX
68%
19%
13%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2004 |
VIL
3 - 0
MAR
52%
23%
24%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
PAL
2 - 1
VIL
82%
12%
6%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
VIL
3 - 0
JEC
46%
25%
30%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
MOG
2 - 0
VIL
41%
24%
35%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2003 |
AVA
5 - 2
VIL
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |