Caxias do Sul vs São Paulo RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
11.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
CAX
2 - 1
PAS
63%
22%
15%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
CAX
2 - 1
JUV
49%
25%
26%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
SLU
0 - 1
CAX
39%
27%
34%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
CAX
2 - 3
GRE
15%
24%
60%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
SCI
4 - 0
CAX
81%
15%
5%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 1
GRE
10%
20%
70%
|
44 | 84 | 40 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
PEL
2 - 1
SAO
58%
24%
18%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 1
SLU
32%
26%
42%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ECS
1 - 1
SAO
65%
22%
14%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
SAO
0 - 0
BRA
28%
26%
47%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |