Caxias do Sul vs Novo Hamburgo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.4%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
15%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
CAX
1 - 0
NOV
47%
23%
30%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
PAS
1 - 2
CAX
37%
25%
38%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
CAX
1 - 0
CAN
61%
20%
19%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
GAU
0 - 1
CAX
19%
23%
59%
|
58 | 35 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2006 |
CAX
1 - 1
SCI
17%
23%
60%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2006 |
CRI
2 - 1
NOV
77%
14%
9%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
NOV
4 - 0
JUV
10%
16%
74%
|
48 | 78 | 30 | +2 |
| 15 Feb. 2006 |
NOV
2 - 2
CRI
24%
22%
53%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
SJO
2 - 1
NOV
36%
24%
40%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
ECS
1 - 0
NOV
65%
20%
16%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |